Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.001003 0.001039 0.001075 0.001114 0.001156 0.001200 0.001248
2025-09-07 0.000940 0.000992 0.001047 0.001109 0.001178 0.001251 0.001337
2025-09-14 0.000883 0.000947 0.001016 0.001095 0.001185 0.001286 0.001406
2025-09-21 0.000836 0.000908 0.000986 0.001079 0.001187 0.001311 0.001465
2025-09-28 0.000802 0.000879 0.000966 0.001071 0.001196 0.001343 0.001530
2025-10-05 0.000757 0.000837 0.000927 0.001038 0.001172 0.001333 0.001544
2025-10-12 0.000732 0.000815 0.000910 0.001030 0.001177 0.001357 0.001599
2025-10-19 0.000714 0.000801 0.000902 0.001030 0.001191 0.001392 0.001670
2025-10-26 0.000693 0.000782 0.000887 0.001021 0.001193 0.001411 0.001719
2025-11-02 0.000679 0.000771 0.000881 0.001023 0.001207 0.001446 0.001791
2025-11-09 0.000662 0.000756 0.000868 0.001016 0.001210 0.001465 0.001842
2025-11-16 0.000645 0.000739 0.000853 0.001004 0.001205 0.001474 0.001878
2025-11-23 0.000639 0.000737 0.000857 0.001017 0.001235 0.001531 0.001991
2025-11-30 0.000629 0.000729 0.000853 0.001021 0.001251 0.001571 0.002080
2025-12-07 0.000615 0.000715 0.000840 0.001012 0.001251 0.001586 0.002131
2025-12-14 0.000599 0.000700 0.000826 0.001000 0.001244 0.001592 0.002168
2025-12-21 0.000588 0.000689 0.000816 0.000993 0.001245 0.001609 0.002224
2025-12-28 0.000567 0.000666 0.000790 0.000965 0.001213 0.001575 0.002191
2026-01-04 0.000556 0.000655 0.000781 0.000958 0.001212 0.001588 0.002240
2026-01-11 0.000549 0.000649 0.000777 0.000958 0.001222 0.001618 0.002319
2026-01-18 0.000539 0.000639 0.000767 0.000951 0.001220 0.001627 0.002363
2026-01-25 0.000533 0.000634 0.000764 0.000952 0.001230 0.001659 0.002449
2026-02-01 0.000524 0.000625 0.000756 0.000946 0.001229 0.001671 0.002500